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Panama v New Zealand

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Panama v New Zealand: the model read

Panama meet New Zealand in the Friendlies friendly international.

The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Panama, 57% against 40%. Attacking output favors New Zealand on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.6 per match.

Panama arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v England, L 0-1 v Croatia, L 0-1 @ Ghana, D 1-1 v Bosnia & Herzegovina.

New Zealand are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 v Belgium, L 1-3 v Egypt, D 2-2 @ Iran, L 0-1 @ England.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Panama

WDLLL8-7-5

Scored 1.55 · Conceded 1.25 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 60%

  • LHEngland0-2
  • LHCroatia0-1
  • LAGhana0-1
  • DHBosnia & Herzegovina1-1
  • WHDominican Republic4-2

New Zealand

LLDLL7-2-11

Scored 2.15 · Conceded 1.55 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 45%

  • LHBelgium1-5
  • LHEgypt1-3
  • DAIran2-2
  • LAEngland0-1
  • LAHaiti0-4

Managers

Thomas Christiansen

Spain · 52

In charge since 2020 · 5 teams managed

  • Union Saint-Gilloise2019–2020
  • Leeds United2017–2018
  • APOEL2016–2017
  • AEK Larnaca2014–2016

D. Bazeley

England · 53

In charge since 2024 · 6 teams managed

  • New Zealand U232023–2023
  • New Zealand U192022–2023
  • New Zealand U202017–2017
  • Wanderers2013–2015

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.