Where the market is wrong on FC Bacau v Universitatea Craiova
FC Bacau meet Universitatea Craiova in the Cupa României group stage at Baza Sportiva FC Bacau, undefined.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 60%. Attacking output favors Universitatea Craiova on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.7 per match.
FC Bacau arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 11 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Slatina, D 2-2 @ CSM Ramnicu Valcea, W 3-0 @ Popești-Leordeni, W 3-0 v CSA Steaua Bucureşti.
Universitatea Craiova are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Rapid, L 0-1 @ Ararat-Armenia, W 3-1 v FC Voluntari, D 1-1 v Ararat-Armenia.
The market prices FC at 12% implied. Our number sits apart on FC Bacau: a 19.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
