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AFC Challenge League · Group Stage · World

Al Nejmeh v Istiqlol

· Hisor Central Stadium, Hisor

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Al Nejmeh v Istiqlol: the model read

Al Nejmeh meet Istiqlol in the AFC Challenge League group stage at Hisor Central Stadium, Hisor.

The baseline ratings are close, 1638 to 1686, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 70% against 76%. Attacking output favors Al Nejmeh on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.4 per match.

Al Nejmeh arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Al Ansar, W 2-1 v Al Ahed, W 2-1 v Jwaaya FC, D 1-1 @ Al Ansar.

Istiqlol are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 6 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Khujand, W 1-0 v Khosilot Farkhor, W 4-0 @ Parvoz, W 1-0 @ Ravshan.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Al Nejmeh

WDWWL11-6-3

Scored 1.75 · Conceded 0.70 · Clean sheets 45% · BTTS 50%

  • LHAl Ansar1-2
  • WHAl Ahed2-1
  • WHJwaaya FC2-1
  • DAAl Ansar1-1
  • WAAl Ahed2-0

Istiqlol

LWWWL12-5-2

Scored 1.42 · Conceded 0.42 · Clean sheets 57.9% · BTTS 31.6%

  • LAKhujand0-1
  • WHKhosilot Farkhor1-0
  • WAParvoz4-0
  • WARavshan1-0
  • LARegar-TadAZ0-1

Managers

Mahmoud Fathalla

Egypt · 43

In charge since 2025

I. Cherevchenko

Russia · 51

In charge since 2024 · 6 teams managed

  • Fakel2024–2024
  • Istiklol2023–2024
  • Khimki2021–2022
  • Khimki2020–2021

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.