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A-League Women · Regular Season - 2 · Australia

Wellington Phoenix W v Melbourne Victory W

· Sky Stadium, Wellington

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Wellington Phoenix W v Melbourne Victory W: the model read

Wellington Phoenix W meet Melbourne Victory W in the A-League Women regular season - 2 at Sky Stadium, Wellington.

The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Wellington Phoenix W, 55% against 45%. Attacking output favors Wellington Phoenix W on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.1 per match.

Wellington Phoenix W arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Melbourne City W, W 1-0 v Brisbane Roar FC W, L 1-2 @ Brisbane Roar FC W, W 2-0 @ Adelaide United W.

Melbourne Victory W are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Melbourne City W, L 0-1 v Melbourne City W, W 3-1 @ Canberra United W, W 1-0 @ Perth Glory FC W.

Melbourne Victory W hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 5 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Melbourne Victory W 1-1 Wellington Phoenix W.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Wellington Phoenix W

LWLWL10-2-8

Scored 1.90 · Conceded 1.00 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 50%

  • LAMelbourne City W1-3
  • WHBrisbane Roar FC W1-0
  • LABrisbane Roar FC W1-2
  • WAAdelaide United W2-0
  • LHWestern Sydney Wanderers W0-1

Melbourne Victory W

LWWLL7-4-9

Scored 1.15 · Conceded 1.15 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 50%

  • LAMelbourne City W0-1
  • LHMelbourne City W0-1
  • WACanberra United W3-1
  • WAPerth Glory FC W1-0
  • LASydney FC W1-2

Head-to-head

9 meetings

Wellington Phoenix WrecordMelbourne Victory W
1
3
5 draws

Goals

11-15

for each

Avg goals

2.9

per game

BTTS

67%

both scored

Over 2.5

33%

3+ goals

Wellington Phoenix W

Recent
DWDDLD
Wins 1Goals 11-15

Biggest win 1-0

Melbourne Victory W

Recent
DLDDWD
Wins 3Goals 15-11

Biggest win 5-3

  • Melbourne Victory W1-1Wellington Phoenix W
  • Wellington Phoenix W1-0Melbourne Victory W
  • Wellington Phoenix W1-1Melbourne Victory W
  • Melbourne Victory W1-1Wellington Phoenix W
  • Melbourne Victory W5-3Wellington Phoenix W
  • Wellington Phoenix W2-2Melbourne Victory W
  • Wellington Phoenix W2-2Melbourne Victory W
  • Melbourne Victory W1-0Wellington Phoenix W
  • Wellington Phoenix W0-2Melbourne Victory W

Managers

Beverly Priestman

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Jeffrey Hopkins

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.