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Liga Premier Serie A · Apertura - 5 · Mexico

Real Refineros v Ciervos

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Real Refineros v Ciervos: the model read

Real Refineros meet Ciervos in the Liga Premier Serie A apertura - 5.

The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Real Refineros, 50% against 28%. Attacking output favors Real Refineros on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.8 per match.

Real Refineros arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 v Ciervos, D 2-2 @ Delfines Coatzacoalcos, D 0-0 v Calor de San Pedro, W 1-0 @ Cañoneros Marina.

Ciervos are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 3 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 @ Real Refineros, L 0-4 @ Calor de San Pedro, L 0-3 v Artesanos Metepec, L 0-2 @ Guerreros del Pacifico.

Their last 1 meetings are tight — 1 drawn. Most recently they met in 2026: Real Refineros 3-3 Ciervos.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Real Refineros

LWDDD1-3-1

Scored 1.40 · Conceded 1.40 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 60%

  • DHCiervos3-3
  • DADelfines Coatzacoalcos2-2
  • DHCalor de San Pedro0-0
  • WACañoneros Marina1-0
  • LHArtesanos Metepec1-2

Ciervos

LLLLD2-7-11

Scored 0.85 · Conceded 2.00 · Clean sheets 10% · BTTS 55%

  • DAReal Refineros3-3
  • LACalor de San Pedro0-4
  • LHArtesanos Metepec0-3
  • LAGuerreros del Pacifico0-2
  • LHDragones de Oaxaca0-2

Head-to-head

1 meeting

Real RefinerosrecordCiervos
0
0
1 draw

Goals

3-3

for each

Avg goals

6.0

per game

BTTS

100%

both scored

Over 2.5

100%

3+ goals

Real Refineros

Recent
D
Wins 0Goals 3-3

Ciervos

Recent
D
Wins 0Goals 3-3
  • Real Refineros3-3Ciervos

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.