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CONMEBOL Sudamericana · Quarter-finals · World

Santos v Atletico-MG

· MRV Arena, Belo Horizonte

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Santos v Atletico-MG: the model read

Santos meet Atletico-MG in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana quarter-finals at MRV Arena, Belo Horizonte.

The baseline ratings are close, 1598 to 1637, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 64% against 71%. Attacking output favors Santos on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.4 per match.

Santos arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Corinthians, L 0-3 @ Palmeiras, D 1-1 v Mirassol, D 0-0 @ Macara.

Atletico-MG are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Cruzeiro, W 2-1 v Vitoria, D 1-1 @ Cruzeiro, D 0-0 @ Internacional.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Santos

WDDLW9-5-4

Scored 1.78 · Conceded 1.11 · Clean sheets 38.9% · BTTS 50%

  • WACorinthians1-0
  • LAPalmeiras0-3
  • DHMirassol1-1
  • DAMacara0-0
  • WAVasco DA Gama3-0

Atletico-MG

DDDWW10-7-2

Scored 1.37 · Conceded 0.74 · Clean sheets 42.1% · BTTS 52.6%

  • WHCruzeiro2-1
  • WHVitoria2-1
  • DACruzeiro1-1
  • DAInternacional0-0
  • DHRB Bragantino2-2

Managers

Cuca

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Eduardo Dominguez

Head coach

In charge since 2026 · 2 teams managed

  • Estudiantes L.P.2025–2026

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.