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CONMEBOL Libertadores · Quarter-finals · World

LDU de Quito v Palmeiras

· Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito

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LDU de Quito v Palmeiras: the model read

LDU de Quito meet Palmeiras in the CONMEBOL Libertadores quarter-finals at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito.

The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1627, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Palmeiras, 68% against 55%. Attacking output favors Palmeiras on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.1 per match.

LDU de Quito arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 4 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Mushuc Runa SC, L 1-2 @ Guayaquil City FC, W 1-0 v Aucas, W 2-0 v Emelec.

Palmeiras are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 11 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Mirassol, W 3-0 v Santos, W 4-1 v Vasco DA Gama, W 1-0 @ Cerro Porteno.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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LDU de Quito

DWWLD7-8-5

Scored 1.05 · Conceded 0.60 · Clean sheets 50% · BTTS 30%

  • DHMushuc Runa SC0-0
  • LAGuayaquil City FC1-2
  • WHAucas1-0
  • WHEmelec2-0
  • DHMirassol0-0

Palmeiras

LWWWD11-5-4

Scored 2.05 · Conceded 0.85 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 55%

  • DAMirassol1-1
  • WHSantos3-0
  • WHVasco DA Gama4-1
  • WACerro Porteno1-0
  • LAFluminense2-3

Managers

Nunes Tiago

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Abel Ferreira

Portugal · 47

In charge since 2020 · 5 teams managed

  • PAOK2019–2020
  • Sporting Braga2017–2019
  • Sporting Braga2016–2016
  • Sporting Braga II2015–2017

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.