Where the market is wrong on Mineros de Guyana v Aragua FC
Mineros de Guyana meet Aragua FC in the Segunda División regular season - 19 at Estadio Cachamay, Ciudad Guayana.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Aragua FC, 50% against 33%. Attacking output favors Mineros de Guyana on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 26%, over 2.5 goals around 18%. Draw no bet leans Aragua FC at 54%; double chance reads Mineros de Guyana or draw 65%, Aragua FC or draw 70%.
Mineros de Guyana arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 11 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 6-0 v Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz, D 1-1 v Aragua FC, L 0-1 @ Monagas SC, L 3-4 @ Petare FC.
Aragua FC are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Yaracuyanos FC, D 1-1 @ Mineros de Guyana, L 0-1 v Fundación Lara Deportiva, D 0-0 @ Atletico Avila FC.
Aragua FC hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Mineros de Guyana 1-1 Aragua FC.
The market prices MIN at 38% implied. Our number sits apart on Aragua FC: a 4.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 61 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
