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Cup · Round of 16 · Estonia

Nõmme United v Vaprus

3-2Full time

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Nõmme United v Vaprus: the model read

Nõmme United meet Vaprus in the Cup round of 16.

The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 48%. Attacking output favors Nõmme United on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.9 per match.

Nõmme United arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Vaprus, L 1-2 v Laagri, L 1-4 @ Paide, W 2-0 @ Hiiumaa.

Vaprus are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 11 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Nõmme United, D 2-2 @ Kuressaare, L 1-2 v Flora Tallinn, L 1-3 @ Kalju Nomme.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Nõmme United

LWLLW9-0-11

Scored 2.05 · Conceded 2.05 · Clean sheets 10% · BTTS 75%

  • WHVaprus3-2
  • LHLaagri1-2
  • LAPaide1-4
  • WAHiiumaa2-0
  • LHTammeka0-1

Vaprus

WLLDL8-3-9

Scored 1.85 · Conceded 1.75 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 75%

  • LANõmme United2-3
  • DAKuressaare2-2
  • LHFlora Tallinn1-2
  • LAKalju Nomme1-3
  • WAPhoenix5-0

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.