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Birinci Dasta · Regular Season - 2 · Azerbaijan

Zaqatala v Baku Sportinq

3-0Full time

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Zaqatala v Baku Sportinq

Zaqatala meet Baku Sportinq in the Birinci Dasta regular season - 2.

Baku Sportinq rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1569 to 1400. Recent form leans Baku Sportinq, 60% against 30%. Attacking output favors Baku Sportinq on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.0 per match.

Zaqatala arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Baku Sportinq, D 2-2 @ Mingəçevir, W 2-1 v Safa Baku, L 0-3 @ Baku Sportinq.

Baku Sportinq are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Zaqatala, L 0-3 v Karvan, D 1-1 @ Şahdağ, W 3-0 v Zaqatala.

The market prices ZAQ at 26% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 6.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Zaqatala

LLWDW4-4-12

Scored 1.00 · Conceded 1.80 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 50%

  • WHBaku Sportinq3-0
  • DAMingəçevir2-2
  • WHSafa Baku2-1
  • LABaku Sportinq0-3
  • LHSəbail0-3

Baku Sportinq

WWDLL9-6-5

Scored 1.25 · Conceded 1.00 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 50%

  • LAZaqatala0-3
  • LHKarvan0-3
  • DAŞahdağ1-1
  • WHZaqatala3-0
  • WACəbrayıl3-2

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.