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AFC Champions League Two · Group Stage - 3 · World

Adelaide United v Home United

· Coopers Stadium, Adelaide

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Adelaide United v Home United: the model read

Adelaide United meet Home United in the AFC Champions League Two group stage - 3 at Coopers Stadium, Adelaide.

The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1650, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 70%. Attacking output favors Home United on expected goals, 2.5 to 1.9 per match.

Adelaide United arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Công An Nhân Dân, L 1-2 @ South Melbourne, W 2-0 @ Playford City Patriots, W 5-0 @ The Cove.

Home United are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Xerez Deportivo, L 2-3 @ Tampines Rovers, L 0-2 v Albirex Niigata S, D 0-0 @ Tampines Rovers.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

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Adelaide United

LWWLL9-7-4

Scored 1.85 · Conceded 1.25 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 75%

  • LHCông An Nhân Dân0-2
  • LASouth Melbourne1-2
  • WAPlayford City Patriots2-0
  • WAThe Cove5-0
  • LHAuckland0-3

Home United

WDLLD12-4-4

Scored 2.55 · Conceded 0.90 · Clean sheets 50% · BTTS 35%

  • DAXerez Deportivo1-1
  • LATampines Rovers2-3
  • LHAlbirex Niigata S0-2
  • DATampines Rovers0-0
  • WAGeylang International3-0

Managers

Airton Andrioli

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Away coach unavailable.

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.