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AFC Champions League Elite · Group Stage · World

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai v Esteghlal FC

· Al Rashid Stadium, Dubai

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai v Esteghlal FC: the model read

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai meet Esteghlal FC in the AFC Champions League Elite group stage at Al Rashid Stadium, Dubai.

The baseline ratings are close, 1601 to 1624, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 67%. Attacking output favors Shabab Al Ahli Dubai on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.3 per match.

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 10 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Al-Wasl FC, W 2-0 v Al-Dhafra, W 5-1 @ Khorfakkan, L 0-1 @ FSV Mainz 05.

Esteghlal FC are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 9 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Foolad FC, W 2-0 v Sepahan FC, W 1-0 @ Nassaji Mazandaran, W 4-0 v Mes Shahr-e Babak.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Shabab Al Ahli Dubai

WLWWW10-4-5

Scored 2.00 · Conceded 1.16 · Clean sheets 21.1% · BTTS 57.9%

  • WAAl-Wasl FC1-0
  • WHAl-Dhafra2-0
  • WAKhorfakkan5-1
  • LAFSV Mainz 050-1
  • WAUdinese2-1

Esteghlal FC

WWWWD10-4-4

Scored 1.33 · Conceded 0.61 · Clean sheets 55.6% · BTTS 27.8%

  • DAFoolad FC0-0
  • WHSepahan FC2-0
  • WANassaji Mazandaran1-0
  • WHMes Shahr-e Babak4-0
  • WHFajr Sepasi2-1

Managers

Paulo Sousa

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Ricardo Sa Pinto

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.