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AFC Champions League Elite · Group Stage · World

Buriram United v Beijing Guoan

· Chang Arena, Buriram

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Buriram United v Beijing Guoan: the model read

Buriram United meet Beijing Guoan in the AFC Champions League Elite group stage at Chang Arena, Buriram.

The baseline ratings are close, 1638 to 1684, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Beijing Guoan, 78% against 68%. Attacking output favors Beijing Guoan on expected goals, 2.4 to 2.0 per match.

Buriram United arrive surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 12 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ BG Pathum United, W 1-0 v Prachuap, W 2-1 v Selangor, W 1-0 @ Selangor.

Beijing Guoan are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 14 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Rizhao Yuqi, D 1-1 @ Dalian Zhixing, D 3-3 v Yunnan Yukun, W 3-0 @ Shanghai Shenhua.

Beijing Guoan hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2019: Beijing Guoan 2-0 Buriram United.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Buriram United

WWWWW12-3-5

Scored 2.00 · Conceded 0.95 · Clean sheets 45% · BTTS 45%

  • WABG Pathum United3-0
  • WHPrachuap1-0
  • WHSelangor2-1
  • WASelangor1-0
  • WHAyutthaya FC5-0

Beijing Guoan

WWDDW12-7-1

Scored 2.35 · Conceded 1.25 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 75%

  • WHRizhao Yuqi3-1
  • DADalian Zhixing1-1
  • DHYunnan Yukun3-3
  • WAShanghai Shenhua3-0
  • WATianjin Teda4-2

Head-to-head

2 meetings

Buriram UnitedrecordBeijing Guoan
0
2
0 draws

Goals

1-5

for each

Avg goals

3.0

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Buriram United

Recent
LL
Wins 0Goals 1-5

Beijing Guoan

Recent
WW
Wins 2Goals 5-1

Biggest win 2-0

  • Beijing Guoan2-0Buriram United
  • Buriram United1-3Beijing Guoan

Managers

Mark Jackson

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Nick Montgomery

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.