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AFC Champions League Elite · Group Stage · World

Al-Nassr v Neftchi

· King Saud University Stadium, Riyadh

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Al-Nassr v Neftchi: the model read

Al-Nassr meet Neftchi in the AFC Champions League Elite group stage at King Saud University Stadium, Riyadh.

The baseline ratings are close, 1684 to 1707, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 73% against 78%. Attacking output favors Al-Nassr on expected goals, 2.5 to 2.1 per match.

Al-Nassr arrive surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 16 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Al Taawon, W 3-2 @ Al-Ettifaq, W 4-0 @ Al Riyadh, W 4-1 @ Al Diriyah.

Neftchi are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 13 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Pakhtakor, W 3-0 v Sogdiana, L 1-4 @ Buxoro, W 3-0 @ Andijan.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Al-Nassr

WWWWW14-1-5

Scored 2.50 · Conceded 1.15 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 55%

  • WHAl Taawon2-1
  • WAAl-Ettifaq3-2
  • WAAl Riyadh4-0
  • WAAl Diriyah4-1
  • WHAl-Fateh3-0

Neftchi

WWLWW14-3-3

Scored 2.10 · Conceded 0.70 · Clean sheets 60% · BTTS 35%

  • WHPakhtakor1-0
  • WHSogdiana3-0
  • LABuxoro1-4
  • WAAndijan3-0
  • WHQizilqum5-0

Managers

Ange Postecoglou

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Away coach unavailable.

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.