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AFC Champions League Elite · Group Stage · World

Al-Hilal Saudi FC v Al-Gharafa

· Kingdom Arena, Riyadh

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Al-Hilal Saudi FC v Al-Gharafa: the model read

Al-Hilal Saudi FC meet Al-Gharafa in the AFC Champions League Elite group stage at Kingdom Arena, Riyadh.

Al-Hilal Saudi FC rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1730 to 1408. Recent form leans Al-Hilal Saudi FC, 83% against 35%. Attacking output favors Al-Hilal Saudi FC on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.3 per match.

Al-Hilal Saudi FC arrive surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 17 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Al-Ahli Jeddah, W 5-1 @ Al Khaleej Saihat, W 3-0 @ Al-Fayha, W 2-0 @ Al-Raed.

Al-Gharafa are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Al Sadd, L 1-3 v Al Shamal, W 2-1 v Al Shahaniya, D 2-2 @ Al Riyadh.

Al-Hilal Saudi FC hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Al-Gharafa 1-2 Al-Hilal Saudi FC.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 58 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Al-Hilal Saudi FC

WWWWW14-5-1

Scored 2.40 · Conceded 0.90 · Clean sheets 45% · BTTS 50%

  • WHAl-Ahli Jeddah3-0
  • WAAl Khaleej Saihat5-1
  • WAAl-Fayha3-0
  • WAAl-Raed2-0
  • WHAl-Faisaly FC4-2

Al-Gharafa

LDWLL5-4-11

Scored 1.30 · Conceded 2.05 · Clean sheets 10% · BTTS 65%

  • LAAl Sadd1-2
  • LHAl Shamal1-3
  • WHAl Shahaniya2-1
  • DAAl Riyadh2-2
  • LAŠamorín1-2

Head-to-head

2 meetings

Al-Hilal Saudi FCrecordAl-Gharafa
2
0
0 draws

Goals

5-1

for each

Avg goals

3.0

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

100%

3+ goals

Al-Hilal Saudi FC

Recent
WW
Wins 2Goals 5-1

Biggest win 3-0

Al-Gharafa

Recent
LL
Wins 0Goals 1-5
  • Al-Gharafa1-2Al-Hilal Saudi FC
  • Al-Hilal Saudi FC3-0Al-Gharafa

Managers

S. Inzaghi

Italy · 49

In charge since 2025 · 3 teams managed

  • Lazio2016–2021

Pedro Martins

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.