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AFC Champions League Elite · Group Stage · World

Esteghlal FC v Al Sadd

· Azadi Stadium, Tehran

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Esteghlal FC v Al Sadd: the model read

Esteghlal FC meet Al Sadd in the AFC Champions League Elite group stage at Azadi Stadium, Tehran.

The baseline ratings are close, 1624 to 1625, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 67% against 66%. Attacking output favors Al Sadd on expected goals, 2.6 to 1.3 per match.

Esteghlal FC arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 9 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Foolad FC, W 2-0 v Sepahan FC, W 1-0 @ Nassaji Mazandaran, W 4-0 v Mes Shahr-e Babak.

Al Sadd are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 13 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Al-Gharafa, W 6-2 @ Qatar SC, W 3-1 v Al Ahli Doha, W 1-0 @ Trabzonspor.

Al Sadd hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Al Sadd 2-0 Esteghlal FC.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Esteghlal FC

WWWWD10-4-4

Scored 1.33 · Conceded 0.61 · Clean sheets 55.6% · BTTS 27.8%

  • DAFoolad FC0-0
  • WHSepahan FC2-0
  • WANassaji Mazandaran1-0
  • WHMes Shahr-e Babak4-0
  • WHFajr Sepasi2-1

Al Sadd

LWWWW11-3-5

Scored 2.58 · Conceded 2.05 · Clean sheets 5.3% · BTTS 94.7%

  • WHAl-Gharafa2-1
  • WAQatar SC6-2
  • WHAl Ahli Doha3-1
  • WATrabzonspor1-0
  • LASigma Olomouc1-2

Head-to-head

4 meetings

Esteghlal FCrecordAl Sadd
0
2
2 draws

Goals

3-7

for each

Avg goals

2.5

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Esteghlal FC

Recent
LDLD
Wins 0Goals 3-7

Al Sadd

Recent
WDWD
Wins 2Goals 7-3

Biggest win 2-0

  • Al Sadd2-0Esteghlal FC
  • Al Sadd2-2Esteghlal FC
  • Esteghlal FC1-3Al Sadd
  • Esteghlal FC0-0Al Sadd

Managers

Ricardo Sa Pinto

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Roberto Mancini

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.