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AFC Champions League Elite · Group Stage · World

Neftchi v Al Quwa Al Jawiya

· Istiqlol Stadium, Fergana

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Neftchi v Al Quwa Al Jawiya: the model read

Neftchi meet Al Quwa Al Jawiya in the AFC Champions League Elite group stage at Istiqlol Stadium, Fergana.

The baseline ratings are close, 1707 to 1661, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 78% against 75%. Attacking output favors Neftchi on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.9 per match.

Neftchi arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 13 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Pakhtakor, W 3-0 v Sogdiana, L 1-4 @ Buxoro, W 3-0 @ Andijan.

Al Quwa Al Jawiya are steady: 1W-4D-0L from their last five (7/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Naft Maysan, D 1-1 v Ghaz Al Shamal, D 1-1 @ Erbil, D 3-3 @ Newroz.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Neftchi

WWLWW14-3-3

Scored 2.10 · Conceded 0.70 · Clean sheets 60% · BTTS 35%

  • WHPakhtakor1-0
  • WHSogdiana3-0
  • LABuxoro1-4
  • WAAndijan3-0
  • WHQizilqum5-0

Al Quwa Al Jawiya

WDDDD11-8-1

Scored 1.90 · Conceded 1.15 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 70%

  • DHNaft Maysan1-1
  • DHGhaz Al Shamal1-1
  • DAErbil1-1
  • DANewroz3-3
  • WHZakho3-2

Managers

Home coach unavailable.

Wisam Rizk

Qatar · 44

In charge since 2024 · 6 teams managed

  • Al Sadd2023–2024
  • Al Shamal2023–2023
  • Umm Salal2021–2023
  • Qatar SC2019–2020

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.