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CONMEBOL Sudamericana · Quarter-finals · World

Sao Paulo v Boca Juniors

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Sao Paulo v Boca Juniors: the model read

Sao Paulo meet Boca Juniors in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana quarter-finals.

Boca Juniors rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1558 to 1432. Recent form leans Boca Juniors, 57% against 42%. Attacking output favors Boca Juniors on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.

Sao Paulo arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v RB Bragantino, L 0-1 @ Chapecoense-sc, W 3-1 v Bolívar, D 1-1 v Coritiba.

Boca Juniors are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 10 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Lanus, D 1-1 @ Racing Club, W 4-0 @ Deportivo Recoleta, D 1-1 @ Platense.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Sao Paulo

DDWLW4-8-7

Scored 1.11 · Conceded 1.21 · Clean sheets 21.1% · BTTS 68.4%

  • WHRB Bragantino2-1
  • LAChapecoense-sc0-1
  • WHBolívar3-1
  • DHCoritiba1-1
  • DABolívar1-1

Boca Juniors

WDWDW9-5-6

Scored 1.35 · Conceded 0.90 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 40%

  • WHLanus1-0
  • DARacing Club1-1
  • WADeportivo Recoleta4-0
  • DAPlatense1-1
  • WHDeportivo Recoleta3-1

Managers

Machado Roger

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Rodolfo Arruabarrena

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.