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Coppa Italia · Round of 32 · Italy

Fiorentina v Pisa

· Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Fiorentina v Pisa: the model read

Fiorentina meet Pisa in the Coppa Italia round of 32 at Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence.

Fiorentina rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1553 to 1400. Recent form leans Fiorentina, 58% against 25%. Attacking output favors Fiorentina on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.0 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 50%, over 2.5 goals around 55%. Draw no bet leans Fiorentina at 63%; double chance reads Fiorentina or draw 74%, Pisa or draw 55%.

Fiorentina arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Frosinone, L 0-4 @ AS Roma, W 4-1 v Benevento, D 1-1 v Deportivo La Coruna.

Pisa are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Catanzaro, L 0-1 v Padova, D 1-1 v Empoli, W 4-1 @ Bologna.

Fiorentina hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Fiorentina 1-0 Pisa.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Fiorentina

DDWLL8-6-5

Scored 1.42 · Conceded 1.32 · Clean sheets 36.8% · BTTS 42.1%

  • LHFrosinone0-3
  • LAAS Roma0-4
  • WHBenevento4-1
  • DHDeportivo La Coruna1-1
  • DAReal Madrid2-2

Pisa

LWDLW4-2-14

Scored 1.00 · Conceded 1.80 · Clean sheets 0% · BTTS 45%

  • WHCatanzaro2-1
  • LHPadova0-1
  • DHEmpoli1-1
  • WABologna4-1
  • LHPRO Vercelli0-1

Head-to-head

2 meetings

FiorentinarecordPisa
1
0
1 draw

Goals

1-0

for each

Avg goals

0.5

per game

BTTS

0%

both scored

Over 2.5

0%

3+ goals

Fiorentina

Recent
WD
Wins 1Goals 1-0

Biggest win 1-0

Pisa

Recent
LD
Wins 0Goals 0-1
  • Fiorentina1-0Pisa
  • Pisa0-0Fiorentina

Managers

F. Grosso

Italy · 48

In charge since 2026 · 9 teams managed

  • Lyon2023–2023
  • Frosinone2021–2023
  • Sion2020–2021
  • Brescia2019–2019

Oscar Hiljemark

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.