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League Cup · Quarter-finals · Scotland

Stenhousemuir v Heart Of Midlothian

· Ochilview Park, Stenhousemuir

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Stenhousemuir v Heart Of Midlothian: the model read

Stenhousemuir meet Heart Of Midlothian in the League Cup quarter-finals at Ochilview Park, Stenhousemuir.

The baseline ratings are close, 1650 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Stenhousemuir, 73% against 60%. Attacking output favors Heart Of Midlothian on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.6 per match.

Stenhousemuir arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 9 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Inverness CT, W 2-0 @ Queen's Park, W 1-0 v Motherwell, W 2-0 v Morton.

Heart Of Midlothian are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts), 12 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v ST Johnstone, D 1-1 @ Rapid Vienna, D 2-2 v Rapid Vienna, W 6-2 v Inverness CT.

Heart Of Midlothian hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2019: Heart Of Midlothian 2-1 Stenhousemuir.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Stenhousemuir

DWWWW11-7-2

Scored 1.55 · Conceded 0.70 · Clean sheets 45% · BTTS 45%

  • WHInverness CT3-1
  • WAQueen's Park2-0
  • WHMotherwell1-0
  • WHMorton2-0
  • DARaith Rovers1-1

Heart Of Midlothian

DWDDW10-4-6

Scored 1.80 · Conceded 1.60 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 75%

  • WHST Johnstone2-1
  • DARapid Vienna1-1
  • DHRapid Vienna2-2
  • WHInverness CT6-2
  • DHBenfica1-1

Head-to-head

1 meeting

StenhousemuirrecordHeart Of Midlothian
0
1
0 draws

Goals

1-2

for each

Avg goals

3.0

per game

BTTS

100%

both scored

Over 2.5

100%

3+ goals

Stenhousemuir

Recent
L
Wins 0Goals 1-2

Heart Of Midlothian

Recent
W
Wins 1Goals 2-1

Biggest win 2-1

  • Heart Of Midlothian2-1Stenhousemuir

Managers

Gary Naysmith

Head coach

In charge since 2025

D. McInnes

Scotland · 54

In charge since 2025 · 5 teams managed

  • Kilmarnock2022–2025
  • Aberdeen2013–2021
  • Bristol City2011–2013
  • St. Johnstone2007–2011

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.