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League Cup · Quarter-finals · Scotland

Kilmarnock v Aberdeen

· Rugby Park, Kilmarnock

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Kilmarnock v Aberdeen: the model read

Kilmarnock meet Aberdeen in the League Cup quarter-finals at Rugby Park, Kilmarnock.

The baseline ratings are close, 1604 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 57%. Attacking output favors Kilmarnock on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.6 per match.

Kilmarnock arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 7 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 v Dundee Utd, W 3-2 v Ayr Utd, L 1-5 v Celtic, L 3-4 @ ST Johnstone.

Aberdeen are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Rangers, W 3-0 v Dundee, L 0-2 @ Dundee, W 2-1 v Heart Of Midlothian.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Kilmarnock

DLLWL11-3-6

Scored 1.75 · Conceded 1.50 · Clean sheets 45% · BTTS 40%

  • LHDundee Utd0-4
  • WHAyr Utd3-2
  • LHCeltic1-5
  • LAST Johnstone3-4
  • DAPeterhead0-0

Aberdeen

WWLWL11-1-8

Scored 1.60 · Conceded 1.30 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 35%

  • LHRangers0-1
  • WHDundee3-0
  • LADundee0-2
  • WHHeart Of Midlothian2-1
  • WHKelty Hearts3-0

Managers

Neil McCann

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Stephen Robinson

Head coach

In charge since 2026 · 2 teams managed

  • ST Mirren2026–2026

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.