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USA v Canada

· Allianz Field

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Match analysisPre-match brief

USA v Canada: the model read

USA meet Canada in the Friendlies friendly international at Allianz Field, undefined.

The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1592, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 65%. Attacking output favors USA on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.6 per match.

USA arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 11 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 v Belgium, W 2-0 v Bosnia & Herzegovina, L 2-3 @ Türkiye, W 2-0 v Australia.

Canada are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Morocco, W 1-0 @ South Africa, L 1-2 @ Switzerland, W 6-0 v Qatar.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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USA

WWLWL11-2-7

Scored 1.85 · Conceded 1.55 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 70%

  • LHBelgium1-4
  • WHBosnia & Herzegovina2-0
  • LATürkiye2-3
  • WHAustralia2-0
  • WHParaguay4-1

Canada

DWLWL9-8-3

Scored 1.55 · Conceded 0.60 · Clean sheets 60% · BTTS 30%

  • LHMorocco0-3
  • WASouth Africa1-0
  • LASwitzerland1-2
  • WHQatar6-0
  • DHBosnia & Herzegovina1-1

Managers

Mauricio Pochettino

Head coach

In charge since 2026

J. Marsch

USA · 52

In charge since 2024 · 6 teams managed

  • Leeds United2022–2023
  • RB Leipzig2021–2021
  • Salzburg2019–2021
  • New York RB2015–2018

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.