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Mexico v Chile

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Mexico v Chile: the model read

Mexico meet Chile in the Friendlies friendly international.

Mexico rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1638 to 1480. Recent form leans Mexico, 70% against 45%. Attacking output favors Mexico on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.

Mexico arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 10 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v England, W 2-0 v Ecuador, W 3-0 @ Czechia, W 1-0 v South Korea.

Chile are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 10 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Congo DR, L 1-2 @ Portugal, L 1-4 @ New Zealand, W 4-2 v Cape Verde Islands.

Chile hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2021: Mexico 2-2 Chile.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Mexico

WWWWL11-6-3

Scored 1.55 · Conceded 0.75 · Clean sheets 60% · BTTS 35%

  • LHEngland2-3
  • WHEcuador2-0
  • WACzechia3-0
  • WHSouth Korea1-0
  • WHSouth Africa2-0

Chile

WWLLW7-3-9

Scored 1.37 · Conceded 1.53 · Clean sheets 21.1% · BTTS 52.6%

  • WACongo DR2-1
  • LAPortugal1-2
  • LANew Zealand1-4
  • WHCape Verde Islands4-2
  • WHPeru2-1

Head-to-head

5 meetings

MexicorecordChile
1
2
2 draws

Goals

8-14

for each

Avg goals

4.4

per game

BTTS

60%

both scored

Over 2.5

80%

3+ goals

Mexico

Recent
DWLLD
Wins 1Goals 8-14

Biggest win 3-1

Chile

Recent
DLWWD
Wins 2Goals 14-8

Biggest win 7-0

  • Mexico2-2Chile
  • Mexico3-1Chile
  • Mexico0-1Chile
  • Mexico0-7Chile
  • Chile3-3Mexico

Managers

J. Aguirre

Mexico · 67

In charge since 2024 · 13 teams managed

  • Mallorca2022–2024
  • Monterrey2020–2022
  • Leganes2019–2020
  • Egypt2018–2019
Away coach unavailable.

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.