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USA v Peru

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Match analysisPre-match brief

USA v Peru: the model read

USA meet Peru in the Friendlies friendly international.

USA rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1592 to 1400. Recent form leans USA, 60% against 35%. Attacking output favors USA on expected goals, 1.9 to 0.8 per match.

USA arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 11 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 v Belgium, W 2-0 v Bosnia & Herzegovina, L 2-3 @ Türkiye, W 2-0 v Australia.

Peru are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Spain, W 2-1 @ Haiti, D 2-2 v Honduras, L 0-2 @ Senegal.

Their last 1 meetings are tight — 1 drawn. Most recently they met in 2018: USA 1-1 Peru.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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USA

WWLWL11-2-7

Scored 1.85 · Conceded 1.55 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 70%

  • LHBelgium1-4
  • WHBosnia & Herzegovina2-0
  • LATürkiye2-3
  • WHAustralia2-0
  • WHParaguay4-1

Peru

WLDWL4-6-10

Scored 0.75 · Conceded 1.30 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 40%

  • LHSpain1-3
  • WAHaiti2-1
  • DHHonduras2-2
  • LASenegal0-2
  • WHBolivia2-0

Head-to-head

1 meeting

USArecordPeru
0
0
1 draw

Goals

1-1

for each

Avg goals

2.0

per game

BTTS

100%

both scored

Over 2.5

0%

3+ goals

USA

Recent
D
Wins 0Goals 1-1

Peru

Recent
D
Wins 0Goals 1-1
  • USA1-1Peru

Managers

Mauricio Pochettino

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Ó. Ibáñez

Peru · 58

In charge since 2025 · 6 teams managed

  • Cienciano2023–2024
  • Peru2023–2026
  • Real Garcilaso2018–2018
  • Cusco2018–2018

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.