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Mexico v Colombia

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Mexico v Colombia: the model read

Mexico meet Colombia in the Friendlies friendly international.

The baseline ratings are close, 1638 to 1604, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 70% against 65%. Attacking output favors Colombia on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.6 per match.

Mexico arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 10 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v England, W 2-0 v Ecuador, W 3-0 @ Czechia, W 1-0 v South Korea.

Colombia are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 5 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Switzerland, W 1-0 v Ghana, D 0-0 v Portugal, W 1-0 v Congo DR.

Colombia hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Mexico 0-4 Colombia.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Mexico

WWWWL11-6-3

Scored 1.55 · Conceded 0.75 · Clean sheets 60% · BTTS 35%

  • LHEngland2-3
  • WHEcuador2-0
  • WACzechia3-0
  • WHSouth Korea1-0
  • WHSouth Africa2-0

Colombia

WWDWD10-6-4

Scored 1.70 · Conceded 0.85 · Clean sheets 50% · BTTS 45%

  • DASwitzerland0-0
  • WHGhana1-0
  • DHPortugal0-0
  • WHCongo DR1-0
  • WAUzbekistan3-1

Head-to-head

3 meetings

MexicorecordColombia
0
3
0 draws

Goals

4-10

for each

Avg goals

4.7

per game

BTTS

67%

both scored

Over 2.5

100%

3+ goals

Mexico

Recent
LLL
Wins 0Goals 4-10

Colombia

Recent
WWW
Wins 3Goals 10-4

Biggest win 4-0

  • Mexico0-4Colombia
  • Mexico2-3Colombia
  • Mexico2-3Colombia

Managers

J. Aguirre

Mexico · 67

In charge since 2024 · 13 teams managed

  • Mallorca2022–2024
  • Monterrey2020–2022
  • Leganes2019–2020
  • Egypt2018–2019

N. Lorenzo

Argentina · 59

In charge since 2022 · 2 teams managed

  • Melgar2021–2022

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.