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Copa Ecuador · Quarter-finals · Ecuador

Astillero FC (Ecu) v Universidad Catolica

0-1Full time· Estadio Deportivo ESPOL, Guayaquil

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Astillero FC (Ecu) v Universidad Catolica: the model read

Astillero FC (Ecu) meet Universidad Catolica in the Copa Ecuador quarter-finals at Estadio Deportivo ESPOL, Guayaquil.

The baseline ratings are close, 1707 to 1592, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Astillero FC (Ecu), 75% against 63%. Attacking output favors Universidad Catolica on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.5 per match.

Astillero FC (Ecu) arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-1L from their last five (9/15 pts), 6 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Universidad Catolica, W 2-0 v Daquilema FC, W 2-1 v Guayaquil City FC, W 2-1 v 22 de Julio.

Universidad Catolica are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 10 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Astillero FC (Ecu), W 1-0 @ Delfin SC, D 1-1 v Aucas, D 2-2 @ Independiente del Valle.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Astillero FC (Ecu)

WWWL3-0-1

Scored 1.50 · Conceded 0.75 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 50%

  • LHUniversidad Catolica0-1
  • WHDaquilema FC2-0
  • WHGuayaquil City FC2-1
  • WH22 de Julio2-1

Universidad Catolica

WDDWW10-5-5

Scored 1.75 · Conceded 1.10 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 55%

  • WAAstillero FC (Ecu)1-0
  • WADelfin SC1-0
  • DHAucas1-1
  • DAIndependiente del Valle2-2
  • WHManta FC5-1

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.