Where the market is wrong on Encarnación v Benjamín Aceval
Encarnación meet Benjamín Aceval in the Division Intermedia regular season - 21.
Benjamín Aceval rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1581 to 1400. Recent form leans Benjamín Aceval, 60% against 23%. Attacking output favors Benjamín Aceval on expected goals, 1.6 to 0.8 per match.
Encarnación arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Benjamín Aceval, W 3-1 @ Sportivo Carapeguá, L 0-2 v 12 de Junio VH, L 0-1 v Paraguari AC.
Benjamín Aceval are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Encarnación, L 2-3 v Deportivo Santani, L 0-2 v Nacional Asuncion, L 1-2 @ Fernando De La Mora.
Benjamín Aceval hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Encarnación 1-3 Benjamín Aceval.
The market prices ENC at 25% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
