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Leagues Cup · Quarter-finals · World

Leon v Real Salt Lake

3-0Full time· Dick's Sporting Goods Park, Commerce City· Referee: Steven Madrigal, Costa Rica

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Leon v Real Salt Lake: the model read

Leon meet Real Salt Lake in the Leagues Cup quarter-finals at Dick's Sporting Goods Park, Commerce City.

Leon rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1650 to 1512. Recent form leans Leon, 68% against 50%. Attacking output favors Leon on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 78%, over 2.5 goals around 81%. Draw no bet leans Leon at 52%; double chance reads Leon or draw 66%, Real Salt Lake or draw 62%.

Leon arrive surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 12 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Real Salt Lake, W 2-0 v Monterrey, W 2-1 @ Necaxa, W 3-2 @ Inter Miami.

Real Salt Lake are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 8 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Leon, L 1-2 @ Orlando City SC, L 3-4 v FC Dallas, D 1-1 v Minnesota United FC.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Leon

WWWWW13-1-6

Scored 1.90 · Conceded 1.55 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 50%

  • WHReal Salt Lake3-0
  • WHMonterrey2-0
  • WANecaxa2-1
  • WAInter Miami3-2
  • WAOrlando City SC2-1

Real Salt Lake

WDLLL8-4-8

Scored 1.85 · Conceded 1.50 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 70%

  • LALeon0-3
  • LAOrlando City SC1-2
  • LHFC Dallas3-4
  • DHMinnesota United FC1-1
  • WHFC Juarez3-0

Managers

Javier Gandolfi

Head coach

In charge since 2026

P. Mastroeni

USA · 49

In charge since 2021 · 2 clubs managed

  • Colorado Rapids2014–2017

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.