Where the market is wrong on West Ham United U21 v Brighton U21
West Ham United U21 meet Brighton U21 in the Premier League Cup group stage at Rush Green Stadium, London.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1592, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Brighton U21, 63% against 50%. Attacking output favors Brighton U21 on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.8 per match.
West Ham United U21 arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 8 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Brighton U21, L 4-5 @ Chelsea U21, L 1-3 @ Sheffield United U21, D 0-0 v Southampton U21.
Brighton U21 are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ West Ham United U21, D 2-2 v Arsenal U21, L 1-2 @ Aston Villa U21, W 3-0 @ Northampton.
The market prices WES at 41% implied. Our number sits apart on Brighton U21: a 10.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 80 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
