UEFA Europa Cup - Women · 1st Qualifying Round - Semi-Finals · World

Gintra-Universitetas W v Sturm Graz W

3-5Full timeSep 2, 2026, 5:00 AM ET· Siauliai central stadium

Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Gintra-Universitetas W v Sturm Graz W

Gintra-Universitetas W meet Sturm Graz W in the UEFA Europa Cup - Women 1st qualifying round - semi-finals at Siauliai central stadium, undefined.

Sturm Graz W rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1638 to 1443. Recent form leans Sturm Graz W, 68% against 38%. Attacking output favors Sturm Graz W on expected goals, 2.3 to 1.4 per match.

Gintra-Universitetas W arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 9 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 3-5 v Sturm Graz W, L 1-2 @ Sturm Graz W, W 4-1 v Riga W, L 1-2 v Hearts W.

Sturm Graz W are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 13 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 5-3 @ Gintra-Universitetas W, W 3-1 v Südburgenland W, W 2-1 v Gintra-Universitetas W, D 1-1 @ First Vienna W.

Sturm Graz W hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Gintra-Universitetas W 3-5 Sturm Graz W.

The market prices GIN at 30% implied. Our number sits apart on Sturm Graz W: a 7.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 74 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Gintra-Universitetas W

LLWLL7-1-12

Scored 1.40 · Conceded 2.20 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 40%

LHSturm Graz W3-5
LASturm Graz W1-2
WHRiga W4-1
LHHearts W1-2
LANordsjælland W0-5

Sturm Graz W

WDWWW12-3-5

Scored 2.30 · Conceded 1.50 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 60%

WAGintra-Universitetas W5-3
WHSüdburgenland W3-1
WHGintra-Universitetas W2-1
DAFirst Vienna W1-1
WHSalzburg W2-0

Head-to-head

2 meetings

Gintra-Universitetas WrecordSturm Graz W

0 draws

Goals

4-7

for each

Avg goals

5.5

per game

BTTS

100%

both scored

Over 2.5

100%

3+ goals

Gintra-Universitetas W

Recent

Wins 0Goals 4-7

Sturm Graz W

Recent

Wins 2Goals 7-4

Biggest win 5-3

Gintra-Universitetas W3-5Sturm Graz W
UEFA Europa Cup - WomenSiauliai central stadium
9/2/26, 5:00 AM ET
Sturm Graz W2-1Gintra-Universitetas W
UEFA Europa Cup - Women
8/26/26, 1:00 PM ET

Managers

Steve Beeks

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Tode Djakovic

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.

The match report

Match report

Sturm Graz W beat Gintra-Universitetas W 5-3 at Siauliai central stadium.

How it unfolded: 3' brigitta pulins (STU), 6' Khrystyna Pereviznyk (GIN), 8' elizabeth mideva (GIN), 14' Khrystyna Pereviznyk (GIN), 26' lilla sipos (STU), 33' Makeila Yancey (STU og), 46' Alla herasymchuk (STU og), 53' brigitta pulins (STU pen).

The numbers, GIN to STU: possession 43% to 57%; shots on target 7 to 8; total shots 8 to 8; corners 2 to 7.

Discipline: 3 yellow cards.

Changes off the bench: GIN 2, STU 2.

The model's lean held: it made Sturm Graz W the most likely outcome at 53%, and the result followed. One result proves little; the ledger is the judge over the full tournament.

Score projection: the model's most likely scoreline was Gintra-Universitetas W 1-3 Sturm Graz W; the match finished 3-5.

Ledger entry: the published 7.3-point edge on Sturm Graz W landed.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output and real match data

Match data

How it unfolded: 3' brigitta pulins (STU), 6' Khrystyna Pereviznyk (GIN), 8' elizabeth mideva (GIN), 14' Khrystyna Pereviznyk (GIN), 26' lilla sipos (STU), 33' Makeila Yancey (STU og), 46' Alla herasymchuk (STU og), 53' brigitta pulins (STU pen).
The numbers, GIN to STU: possession 43% to 57%; shots on target 7 to 8; total shots 8 to 8; corners 2 to 7.
Discipline: 3 yellow cards.
Changes off the bench: GIN 2, STU 2.

How the model graded

The model's lean held: it made Sturm Graz W the most likely outcome at 53%, and the result followed. One result proves little; the ledger is the judge over the full tournament.

Score projection: the model's most likely scoreline was Gintra-Universitetas W 1-3 Sturm Graz W; the match finished 3-5.

Ledger entry: the published 7.3-point edge on Sturm Graz W landed.

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Gintra-Universitetas W v Sturm Graz W

Where the market is wrong on Gintra-Universitetas W v Sturm Graz W

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Gintra-Universitetas W

Sturm Graz W

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