Where the market is wrong on Maceratese v Ancona
Maceratese meet Ancona in the Serie D - Girone F group f - 3.
Ancona rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1581 to 1400. Recent form leans Ancona, 60% against 28%. Attacking output favors Ancona on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.8 per match.
Maceratese arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 2 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Ancona, L 1-2 @ Atletico Ascoli, L 0-3 v Teramo, L 0-1 @ Chieti.
Ancona are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Maceratese, L 0-1 v Montecchio Gallo, W 2-1 @ Notaresco, L 1-3 v Notaresco.
Ancona hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Maceratese 0-1 Ancona.
The market prices MAC at 14% implied. Our number sits apart on Maceratese: a 9.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
