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Serie D - Girone B · Group B - 5 · Italy

Tritium v Rovato Vertovese

2-2Full time

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Tritium v Rovato Vertovese

Tritium meet Rovato Vertovese in the Serie D - Girone B group b - 5.

The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Rovato Vertovese, 53% against 23%. Attacking output favors Rovato Vertovese on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.8 per match.

Tritium arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 7 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Rovato Vertovese, L 2-3 @ Pavonese, D 1-1 v Villa Valle, L 1-2 @ Brusaporto.

Rovato Vertovese are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 8 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Tritium, D 2-2 v Leon, D 1-1 @ Virtus Verona, L 3-4 v Chievo.

Their last 1 meetings are tight — 1 drawn. Most recently they met in 2026: Tritium 2-2 Rovato Vertovese.

The market prices TRI at 37% implied. Our number sits apart on Rovato Vertovese: a 10.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 78 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Tritium

LLDLD2-5-13

Scored 0.85 · Conceded 1.70 · Clean sheets 10% · BTTS 50%

  • DHRovato Vertovese2-2
  • LAPavonese2-3
  • DHVilla Valle1-1
  • LABrusaporto1-2
  • LHPiacenza1-2

Rovato Vertovese

LLDDD6-9-5

Scored 1.20 · Conceded 1.05 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 50%

  • DATritium2-2
  • DHLeon2-2
  • DAVirtus Verona1-1
  • LHChievo3-4
  • LAVirtus Ciserano Bergamo0-2

Head-to-head

1 meeting

TritiumrecordRovato Vertovese
0
0
1 draw

Goals

2-2

for each

Avg goals

4.0

per game

BTTS

100%

both scored

Over 2.5

100%

3+ goals

Tritium

Recent
D
Wins 0Goals 2-2

Rovato Vertovese

Recent
D
Wins 0Goals 2-2
  • Tritium2-2Rovato Vertovese

Managers

I. Pelati

Italy · 53

  • Tritium2020–2022
Away coach unavailable.

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.