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Serie D - Girone B · Group B - 5 · Italy

Virtus Ciserano Bergamo v Club Milano

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Virtus Ciserano Bergamo v Club Milano

Virtus Ciserano Bergamo meet Club Milano in the Serie D - Girone B group b - 5.

The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 45%. Attacking output favors Club Milano on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.9 per match.

Virtus Ciserano Bergamo arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Club Milano, L 1-2 @ Chievo, D 1-1 v Pavonese, D 0-0 @ Villa Valle.

Club Milano are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Virtus Ciserano Bergamo, L 0-1 v Virtus Verona, L 0-2 @ Chievo, W 2-0 @ Pavonese.

Virtus Ciserano Bergamo hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 1-1 Club Milano.

The market prices VIR at 36% implied. Our number sits apart on Club Milano: a 4.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 61 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Virtus Ciserano Bergamo

WDDLD4-10-6

Scored 0.95 · Conceded 1.00 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 50%

  • DHClub Milano1-1
  • LAChievo1-2
  • DHPavonese1-1
  • DAVilla Valle0-0
  • WHRovato Vertovese2-0

Club Milano

LWLLD8-2-10

Scored 1.35 · Conceded 1.45 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 40%

  • DAVirtus Ciserano Bergamo1-1
  • LHVirtus Verona0-1
  • LAChievo0-2
  • WAPavonese2-0
  • LHNibbiano & Valtidone0-1

Head-to-head

3 meetings

Virtus Ciserano BergamorecordClub Milano
1
0
2 draws

Goals

6-5

for each

Avg goals

3.7

per game

BTTS

100%

both scored

Over 2.5

67%

3+ goals

Virtus Ciserano Bergamo

Recent
DDW
Wins 1Goals 6-5

Biggest win 3-2

Club Milano

Recent
DDL
Wins 0Goals 5-6
  • Virtus Ciserano Bergamo1-1Club Milano
  • Virtus Ciserano Bergamo2-2Club Milano
  • Club Milano2-3Virtus Ciserano Bergamo

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.