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Serie D - Girone A · Group A - 5 · Italy

Saluzzo v Derthona

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Where the market is wrong on Saluzzo v Derthona

Saluzzo meet Derthona in the Serie D - Girone A group a - 5.

The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 48%. Attacking output favors Saluzzo on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.8 per match.

Saluzzo arrive in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Derthona, D 2-2 @ Sanremese, W 3-1 v Celle Varazze, W 2-0 @ Borgosesia.

Derthona are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 6 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Saluzzo, W 1-0 v Millesimo, W 3-2 @ Ligorna, D 1-1 v Imperia.

Saluzzo hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 with 4 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Saluzzo 0-0 Derthona.

The market prices SAL at 35% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Saluzzo

DWWDD5-8-7

Scored 1.20 · Conceded 1.25 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 50%

  • DHDerthona0-0
  • DASanremese2-2
  • WHCelle Varazze3-1
  • WABorgosesia2-0
  • DHBiellese1-1

Derthona

WDWWD6-7-7

Scored 0.85 · Conceded 1.05 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 40%

  • DASaluzzo0-0
  • WHMillesimo1-0
  • WALigorna3-2
  • DHImperia1-1
  • WACelle Varazze1-0

Head-to-head

7 meetings

SaluzzorecordDerthona
3
0
4 draws

Goals

8-4

for each

Avg goals

1.7

per game

BTTS

57%

both scored

Over 2.5

29%

3+ goals

Saluzzo

Recent
DDWDWD
Wins 3Goals 8-4

Biggest win 3-1

Derthona

Recent
DDLDLD
Wins 0Goals 4-8
  • Saluzzo0-0Derthona
  • Saluzzo1-1Derthona
  • Derthona1-3Saluzzo
  • Derthona1-1Saluzzo
  • Saluzzo2-1Derthona
  • Derthona0-0Saluzzo
  • Saluzzo1-0Derthona

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.