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UEFA Champions League Women · 3rd Qualifying Round · World

Ajax W v Real Madrid W

0-2Full time· Sportpark De Toekomst, Ouder-Amstel· Referee: Maria Sole Ferrieri Caputi, Italy

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Ajax W v Real Madrid W: the model read

Ajax W meet Real Madrid W in the UEFA Champions League Women 3rd qualifying round at Sportpark De Toekomst, Ouder-Amstel.

The baseline ratings are close, 1684 to 1719, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 75% against 78%. Attacking output favors Ajax W on expected goals, 2.0 to 2.0 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 66%, over 2.5 goals around 65%. Draw no bet leans Ajax W at 53%; double chance reads Ajax W or draw 67%, Real Madrid W or draw 63%.

Ajax W arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 6 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Real Madrid W, W 1-0 v PEC Zwolle W, W 1-0 @ Utrecht W, W 2-1 v Rangers W.

Real Madrid W are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 11 scored and 0 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Ajax W, W 2-0 v Granada, W 4-0 @ FC Levante Badalona W, W 1-0 v Atletico Madrid W.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Ajax W

WWWWL13-4-3

Scored 2.00 · Conceded 0.95 · Clean sheets 50% · BTTS 45%

  • LHReal Madrid W0-2
  • WHPEC Zwolle W1-0
  • WAUtrecht W1-0
  • WHRangers W2-1
  • WHBrøndby W2-0

Real Madrid W

WWWWW15-1-4

Scored 2.00 · Conceded 1.15 · Clean sheets 60% · BTTS 25%

  • WAAjax W2-0
  • WHGranada2-0
  • WAFC Levante Badalona W4-0
  • WHAtletico Madrid W1-0
  • WASevilla W2-0

Managers

Anouk Bruil

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Pau Quesada

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.