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UEFA Europa League · Play-offs · World

St. Truiden v Omonia Nicosia

1-0Full time· Stayen, Sint- Truiden· Referee: Georgi Kabakov, Bulgaria

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Match analysisPre-match brief

St. Truiden v Omonia Nicosia: the model read

St. Truiden meet Omonia Nicosia in the UEFA Europa League play-offs at Stayen, Sint- Truiden.

The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1696, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Omonia Nicosia, 78% against 63%. Attacking output favors Omonia Nicosia on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.7 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 47%, over 2.5 goals around 46%. Draw no bet leans Omonia Nicosia at 59%; double chance reads St. Truiden or draw 59%, Omonia Nicosia or draw 71%.

St. Truiden arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Omonia Nicosia, D 3-3 @ Cercle Brugge, D 1-1 v Lommel United, L 0-3 @ AEK Athens FC.

Omonia Nicosia are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 3 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ St. Truiden, W 1-0 v Lincoln Red Imps FC, D 1-1 @ Lincoln Red Imps FC, L 0-1 @ Kairat Almaty.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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St. Truiden

LLDDW10-5-5

Scored 1.70 · Conceded 1.00 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 45%

  • WHOmonia Nicosia1-0
  • DACercle Brugge3-3
  • DHLommel United1-1
  • LAAEK Athens FC0-3
  • LAHelmond Sport0-1

Omonia Nicosia

WLDWL13-5-2

Scored 1.95 · Conceded 0.70 · Clean sheets 50% · BTTS 40%

  • LASt. Truiden0-1
  • WHLincoln Red Imps FC1-0
  • DALincoln Red Imps FC1-1
  • LAKairat Almaty0-1
  • WHKairat Almaty1-0

Managers

Wouter Vrancken

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Henning Berg

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.