Mjallby AIF v Red Bull Salzburg: the model read
Mjallby AIF meet Red Bull Salzburg in the UEFA Europa League play-offs at Strandvallen, Hallevik.
Red Bull Salzburg rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1625 to 1420. Recent form leans Red Bull Salzburg, 66% against 39%. Attacking output favors Red Bull Salzburg on expected goals, 2.3 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 64%, over 2.5 goals around 79%. Draw no bet leans Red Bull Salzburg at 68%; double chance reads Mjallby AIF or draw 50%, Red Bull Salzburg or draw 76%.
Mjallby AIF arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Red Bull Salzburg, W 4-3 v Sirius, L 0-2 @ Slovan Bratislava, L 0-1 v IF Elfsborg.
Red Bull Salzburg are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Mjallby AIF, W 3-0 @ WSG Wattens, D 3-3 @ Pafos, D 1-1 @ Wolfsberger AC.
Red Bull Salzburg hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Mjallby AIF 0-1 Red Bull Salzburg.
The market prices MJA at 22% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
