Where the market is wrong on SC Braga v Austria Vienna
SC Braga meet Austria Vienna in the UEFA Europa Conference League playoff round at Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga.
The baseline ratings are close, 1637 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans SC Braga, 71% against 55%. Attacking output favors SC Braga on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 56%, over 2.5 goals around 56%. Draw no bet leans SC Braga at 58%; double chance reads SC Braga or draw 70%, Austria Vienna or draw 60%.
SC Braga arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 9 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Austria Vienna, D 0-0 @ Dinamo Minsk, D 2-2 @ Moreirense, W 1-0 v Dinamo Minsk.
Austria Vienna are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ SC Braga, W 2-0 @ TSV Hartberg, L 1-2 v Beitar Jerusalem, L 0-2 v Lask Linz.
SC Braga hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: SC Braga 2-0 Austria Vienna.
The market prices SC at 67% implied. Our number sits apart on Austria Vienna: a 17.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
