Where the market is wrong on Gremio v Internacional
Gremio meet Internacional in the Copa Do Brasil quarter-finals.
The baseline ratings are close, 1504 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 45%. Attacking output favors Gremio on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
Gremio arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Chapecoense-sc, D 0-0 @ Internacional, L 0-1 @ RB Bragantino, L 0-3 @ Atletico-MG.
Internacional are patchy: 0W-4D-1L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Bahia, D 0-0 v Gremio, D 0-0 v Atletico-MG, D 1-1 v Remo.
The recent head-to-head is even, 2 apiece with 6 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Internacional 0-0 Gremio.
The market prices GRE at 29% implied. Our number sits apart on Gremio: a 6.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 68 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
