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Copa Do Brasil · Quarter-finals · Brazil

Palmeiras v Santos

3-0Full time· Referee: Bruno Arleu de Araujo, Brazil

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Palmeiras v Santos: the model read

Palmeiras meet Santos in the Copa Do Brasil quarter-finals.

The baseline ratings are close, 1627 to 1560, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Palmeiras, 68% against 58%. Attacking output favors Palmeiras on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.7 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 58%, over 2.5 goals around 61%. Draw no bet leans Palmeiras at 60%; double chance reads Palmeiras or draw 72%, Santos or draw 57%.

Palmeiras arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 11 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Santos, W 4-1 v Vasco DA Gama, W 1-0 @ Cerro Porteno, L 2-3 @ Fluminense.

Santos are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Palmeiras, D 1-1 v Mirassol, D 0-0 @ Macara, W 3-0 @ Vasco DA Gama.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Palmeiras

DLWWW11-5-4

Scored 2.05 · Conceded 0.85 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 55%

  • WHSantos3-0
  • WHVasco DA Gama4-1
  • WACerro Porteno1-0
  • LAFluminense2-3
  • DHCerro Porteno1-1

Santos

WWDDL8-5-5

Scored 1.72 · Conceded 1.28 · Clean sheets 33.3% · BTTS 50%

  • LAPalmeiras0-3
  • DHMirassol1-1
  • DAMacara0-0
  • WAVasco DA Gama3-0
  • WHMacara2-1

Managers

Abel Ferreira

Portugal · 47

In charge since 2020 · 6 clubs managed

  • PAOK2019–2020
  • Sporting Braga2017–2019
  • Sporting Braga2016–2016
  • Sporting Braga II2015–2017

Cuca

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.