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Liga Alef · North - 4 · Israel

Tira v Hapoel Bnei Musmus

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Tira v Hapoel Bnei Musmus

Tira meet Hapoel Bnei Musmus in the Liga Alef north - 4.

Tira rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1669 to 1545. Recent form leans Tira, 75% against 55%. Attacking output favors Tira on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.4 per match.

Tira arrive in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 7 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Hapoel Bnei Musmus, D 1-1 @ Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt, W 4-0 v Hapoel Ironi Arraba, W 1-0 @ Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed.

Hapoel Bnei Musmus are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Tira, L 1-2 v Beitar Nahariya, L 0-3 @ Hapoel Ironi Karmiel, D 0-0 v Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm.

The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Tira 1-1 Hapoel Bnei Musmus.

The market prices TIR at 56% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 5.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Tira

DWWDD7-4-1

Scored 1.83 · Conceded 0.58 · Clean sheets 50% · BTTS 41.7%

  • DHHapoel Bnei Musmus1-1
  • DAHapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt1-1
  • WHHapoel Ironi Arraba4-0
  • WAMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed1-0
  • DAHapoel Beit Shean0-0

Hapoel Bnei Musmus

WDLLD5-2-4

Scored 1.36 · Conceded 1.27 · Clean sheets 18.2% · BTTS 63.6%

  • DATira1-1
  • LHBeitar Nahariya1-2
  • LAHapoel Ironi Karmiel0-3
  • DHTzeirei Umm al-Fahm0-0
  • WAHapoel Umm al-Fahm2-0

Head-to-head

3 meetings

TirarecordHapoel Bnei Musmus
1
1
1 draw

Goals

5-4

for each

Avg goals

3.0

per game

BTTS

100%

both scored

Over 2.5

67%

3+ goals

Tira

Recent
DLW
Wins 1Goals 5-4

Biggest win 3-1

Hapoel Bnei Musmus

Recent
DWL
Wins 1Goals 4-5

Biggest win 2-1

  • Tira1-1Hapoel Bnei Musmus
  • Hapoel Bnei Musmus2-1Tira
  • Hapoel Bnei Musmus1-3Tira

Managers

H. Sirotkin

Israel · 54

In charge since 2024 · 2 teams managed

  • Kafr Qasim2022–2022
  • Tira2019–2021
  • Kafr Qasim2015–2017

N. Agbaria

Israel · 53

In charge since 2018

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.