Where the market is wrong on Ironi Baka El Garbiya v Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
Ironi Baka El Garbiya meet Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel in the Liga Alef north - 4.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Ironi Baka El Garbiya, 46% against 23%. Attacking output favors Ironi Baka El Garbiya on expected goals, 1.5 to 0.9 per match.
Ironi Baka El Garbiya arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel, D 3-3 @ Hapoel Umm al-Fahm, L 0-2 v Ironi Nesher, D 0-0 @ Maccabi Neve Sha'anan.
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Ironi Baka El Garbiya, W 4-1 @ Tzeirey Tamra, L 0-1 @ Hapoel Nazareth Illit, L 0-1 v Hapoel Beit Shean.
Ironi Baka El Garbiya hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Ironi Baka El Garbiya 3-1 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel.
The market prices IRO at 51% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 5.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output