Varzim v Trofense: the model read
Varzim meet Trofense in the Taça de Portugal 1/128-finals.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Varzim, 45% against 30%. Attacking output favors Varzim on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.5 per match.
Varzim arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 12 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Paredes, W 5-1 v Trofense, W 4-1 @ Pacos Ferreira, W 2-1 v AD Marco 09.
Trofense are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 2 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Guimaraes B, L 1-5 @ Varzim, W 1-0 v São João Ver, L 0-2 @ Vianense.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output