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Taça de Portugal · 1/128-finals · Portugal

Ermesinde v Paredes

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Ermesinde v Paredes: the model read

Ermesinde meet Paredes in the Taça de Portugal 1/128-finals.

Paredes rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1581 to 1400. Recent form leans Paredes, 60% against 0%. Attacking output favors Paredes on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.0 per match.

Ermesinde arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-1L from their last five (0/15 pts), 1 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Paredes.

Paredes are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 12 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Ermesinde, L 1-2 v Leça, W 1-0 @ Pacos Ferreira, W 3-1 v Guimaraes B.

Paredes hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Ermesinde 1-3 Paredes.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Ermesinde

L0-0-1

Scored 1.00 · Conceded 3.00 · Clean sheets 0% · BTTS 100%

  • LHParedes1-3

Paredes

WWWLW10-4-6

Scored 1.65 · Conceded 1.05 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 50%

  • WAErmesinde3-1
  • LHLeça1-2
  • WAPacos Ferreira1-0
  • WHGuimaraes B3-1
  • WHLusitânia Lourosa4-2

Head-to-head

1 meeting

ErmesinderecordParedes
0
1
0 draws

Goals

1-3

for each

Avg goals

4.0

per game

BTTS

100%

both scored

Over 2.5

100%

3+ goals

Ermesinde

Recent
L
Wins 0Goals 1-3

Paredes

Recent
W
Wins 1Goals 3-1

Biggest win 3-1

  • Ermesinde1-3Paredes

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.