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Taça de Portugal · 1/128-finals · Portugal

Beira-Mar v União Lamas

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Beira-Mar v União Lamas: the model read

Beira-Mar meet União Lamas in the Taça de Portugal 1/128-finals.

The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1432, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Beira-Mar, 55% against 42%. Attacking output favors Beira-Mar on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.8 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 32%, over 2.5 goals around 28%. Draw no bet leans Beira-Mar at 60%; double chance reads Beira-Mar or draw 73%, União Lamas or draw 60%.

Beira-Mar arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 v União Lamas, L 0-2 v Machico, D 1-1 @ Sanjoanense, W 2-1 @ Tondela.

União Lamas are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 @ Beira-Mar, L 0-1 @ Ovarense, D 1-1 v Florgrade, D 2-2 v Feirense.

Beira-Mar hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Beira-Mar 3-3 União Lamas.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Beira-Mar

WWDLD7-8-5

Scored 1.35 · Conceded 1.05 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 60%

  • DHUnião Lamas3-3
  • LHMachico0-2
  • DASanjoanense1-1
  • WATondela2-1
  • WAGouveia2-1

União Lamas

LDDLD4-8-7

Scored 0.79 · Conceded 1.21 · Clean sheets 36.8% · BTTS 31.6%

  • DABeira-Mar3-3
  • LAOvarense0-1
  • DHFlorgrade1-1
  • DHFeirense2-2
  • LASousense1-2

Head-to-head

5 meetings

Beira-MarrecordUnião Lamas
2
1
2 draws

Goals

10-5

for each

Avg goals

3.0

per game

BTTS

40%

both scored

Over 2.5

60%

3+ goals

Beira-Mar

Recent
DWLWD
Wins 2Goals 10-5

Biggest win 4-0

União Lamas

Recent
DLWLD
Wins 1Goals 5-10

Biggest win 2-1

  • Beira-Mar3-3União Lamas
  • Beira-Mar4-0União Lamas
  • União Lamas2-1Beira-Mar
  • União Lamas0-2Beira-Mar
  • Beira-Mar0-0União Lamas

Managers

Fabeta

Portugal · 38

In charge since 2025

André Ribeiro

Head coach

In charge since 2024 · 5 teams managed

  • Florgrade2023–2024
  • Pevidem2022–2022
  • Valadares Gaia2020–2021
  • Águeda2019–2020

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.