Where the market is wrong on Libertas v Faetano
Libertas meet Faetano in the Campionato regular season - 4.
Libertas rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1523 to 1400. Recent form leans Libertas, 53% against 23%. Attacking output favors Libertas on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.6 per match.
Libertas arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Virtus, L 0-2 v Folgore, W 2-1 v Juvenes / Dogana, D 1-1 @ Cosmos.
Faetano are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 1 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ San Marino Academy, L 1-3 @ Domagnano, L 0-4 v Tre Fiori, L 0-4 @ Juvenes / Dogana.
Libertas hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Libertas 2-1 Faetano.
The market prices LIB at 53% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 5.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
