Where the market is wrong on APR v JSK
APR meet JSK in the CAF Champions League 1st preliminary round at Stade Amahoro, Kigali.
The baseline ratings are close, 1662 to 1589, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 71% against 63%. Attacking output favors APR on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.3 per match.
APR arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v JSK, L 0-1 @ JSK, W 2-1 v Vipers, W 3-1 @ Al-Haras Al-Jumhuri.
JSK are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ APR, W 1-0 v APR, W 2-1 @ Don Bosco, D 1-1 @ Maniema Union.
The market prices APR at 42% implied. Our number sits apart on JSK: a 5.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output