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CAF Champions League · 1st Preliminary Round · World

Medeama v TP Mazembe

· TNA Park, Tarkwa

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Medeama v TP Mazembe: the model read

Medeama meet TP Mazembe in the CAF Champions League 1st preliminary round at TNA Park, Tarkwa.

TP Mazembe rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1734 to 1523. Recent form leans TP Mazembe, 82% against 53%. Attacking output favors TP Mazembe on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.6 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 32%, over 2.5 goals around 43%. Draw no bet leans TP Mazembe at 69%; double chance reads Medeama or draw 52%, TP Mazembe or draw 78%.

Medeama arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 12 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ ASEC Mimosas, L 1-2 @ SOA, W 2-1 v Basake Holy Stars, L 2-4 @ Hearts of Oak.

TP Mazembe are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Céleste, W 3-0 @ Don Bosco, D 0-0 v Saint Eloi Lupopo, W 2-0 v JSK.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Medeama

WLWLW8-5-7

Scored 1.60 · Conceded 1.15 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 60%

  • WAASEC Mimosas2-1
  • LASOA1-2
  • WHBasake Holy Stars2-1
  • LAHearts of Oak2-4
  • WHHeart of Lions5-2

TP Mazembe

LWDWW14-3-2

Scored 1.95 · Conceded 0.42 · Clean sheets 73.7% · BTTS 26.3%

  • WHCéleste2-0
  • WADon Bosco3-0
  • DHSaint Eloi Lupopo0-0
  • WHJSK2-0
  • LAManiema Union1-2

Managers

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L. N'Diaye

Senegal · 67

In charge since 2023 · 5 clubs managed

  • Horoya2019–2023
  • Al Hilal Omdurman2018–2018
  • TP Mazembe2010–2013
  • Senegal2008–2008

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.