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Derde Divisie · Regular Season - 6 · Netherlands

Blauw Geel v Dongen

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Blauw Geel v Dongen: the model read

Blauw Geel meet Dongen in the Derde Divisie regular season - 6.

The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 53%. Attacking output favors Dongen on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.4 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 73%, over 2.5 goals around 75%. Draw no bet leans Dongen at 54%; double chance reads Blauw Geel or draw 61%, Dongen or draw 67%.

Blauw Geel arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Rijnvogels, L 0-2 @ Noordwijk, L 0-3 @ Zwaluwen, W 3-2 v SVV Scheveningen.

Dongen are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 12 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ EVV, W 4-0 v Zwaluwen, W 2-1 @ Heerjansdam, D 1-1 v Heerjansdam.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Blauw Geel

LWLLD7-4-9

Scored 1.40 · Conceded 1.70 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 50%

  • DHRijnvogels0-0
  • LANoordwijk0-2
  • LAZwaluwen0-3
  • WHSVV Scheveningen3-2
  • LARoosendaal1-2

Dongen

WDWWW8-5-7

Scored 1.70 · Conceded 1.70 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 75%

  • WAEVV3-2
  • WHZwaluwen4-0
  • WAHeerjansdam2-1
  • DHHeerjansdam1-1
  • WASVV Scheveningen2-0

Managers

M. Verbunt

Netherlands · 50

In charge since 2023 · 3 clubs managed

  • Groene Ster2017–2023
  • Chevremont2016–2017

O. Erbas

Netherlands · 50

In charge since 2019

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.