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Derde Divisie · Regular Season - 6 · Netherlands

Hoogeveen v Excelsior '31

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Hoogeveen v Excelsior '31: the model read

Hoogeveen meet Excelsior '31 in the Derde Divisie regular season - 6.

The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 50%. Attacking output favors Excelsior '31 on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.6 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 78%, over 2.5 goals around 84%. Draw no bet leans Excelsior '31 at 58%; double chance reads Hoogeveen or draw 58%, Excelsior '31 or draw 69%.

Hoogeveen arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ VV Scherpenzeel, W 4-3 v SVZW, W 2-1 v SC Genemuiden, L 0-1 @ Huizen.

Excelsior '31 are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 14 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 4-2 @ Staphorst, W 4-0 v Eemdijk, W 2-1 @ URK, W 3-1 v Staphorst.

Excelsior '31 hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Excelsior '31 3-3 Hoogeveen.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Hoogeveen

WLWWL9-3-8

Scored 1.60 · Conceded 2.10 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 65%

  • LAVV Scherpenzeel1-2
  • WHSVZW4-3
  • WHSC Genemuiden2-1
  • LAHuizen0-1
  • WHEemdijk1-0

Excelsior '31

DWWWW8-4-8

Scored 1.80 · Conceded 1.50 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 65%

  • WAStaphorst4-2
  • WHEemdijk4-0
  • WAURK2-1
  • WHStaphorst3-1
  • DATEC1-1

Head-to-head

2 meetings

HoogeveenrecordExcelsior '31
0
1
1 draw

Goals

3-4

for each

Avg goals

3.5

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Hoogeveen

Recent
DL
Wins 0Goals 3-4

Excelsior '31

Recent
DW
Wins 1Goals 4-3

Biggest win 1-0

  • Excelsior '313-3Hoogeveen
  • Hoogeveen0-1Excelsior '31

Managers

Bjorn Zwikker

Head coach

In charge since 2025

M. Steggink

Head coach

In charge since 2024

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.